四毋
主要研究方向是货636f707962616964757a686964616f31333361303564币经济学和经济计量学。从1996年至今在美国《美国经济评论》、《经济研究评论》、《经济计量学》等杂志上发表20多篇论文。4.1.学术论文1.“Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Regime-Switching DSGE Approach”,Quantitative Economics, forthcoming. With Zheng Liu and Daniel F. Waggoner.2.“Minimal State Variable Solutions to Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Mod-els”,Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, forthcoming. With RogerE.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.3.“Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identificationand Algorithms for In-ference”,Review of Economic Studies, 2010, volume 77, pages 665-696. WithJuan Rubio-Ramirez and Daniel F. Waggoner.4.“Generalizing the Taylor Principle: Comment”, American Economic Review,2010 (March), volume 100, issue 1, pages 608-617. With Roger E.A.Farmer andDaniel F. Waggoner.5.“Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models”,Journal of Economic Theory, 2009 (November), volume 144, issue 6, pages 1849-1867. WithRoger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.6.“The Conquest of South American Inflation”, Journal of Political Economy,2009 (April), volume 117, number 2, pages 211-256. With Thomas J.Sargent andNoah Williams.7.“Asymmetric Expectation Effects of Regime Switches in Monetary Policy”,Review of Economic Dynamics, 2009 (April), volume 12, number 2, pages 284-303. WithZheng Liu and Daniel F. Waggoner.8.“Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks”,Economic Journal,2009 (March), volume 119, issue 536, pages 377-405. With Kevin X.D. Huang andZheng Liu.9.“Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model”, International Journal of Economic Theory, 2009 (March), volume 5, pages 69-84. With Roger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.10.“Methods for Inference in Large Multiple-Equation Markov-Switching Models”,Journal of Econometrics, 2008, volume 146, issue 2, pages 255-274. With Christopher A. Sims and Daniel F. Waggoner.11.“Normalization in Econometrics”,Econometric Reviews, 2007, volume 26, num-bers 2-4, pages 221-252. Special issue on“Bayesian Dynamic Econometrics.” With James D. Hamilton and Daniel F. Waggoner.12.“Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation”,American Economic Review, 2006 (September), volume 96, number 4, pages 1193-1224. With Thomas J. Sargent and Noah Williams.13.“Does Monetary Policy Generate Recessions?”,Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2006(April), volume 10, number 2, pages 231-272. With Christopher A. Sims.14.“Were There Regime Switches in US Monetary Policy?”,American Economic Review, 2006 (March), volume 96, number 1, pages 54-81. With Christopher A.Sims.15.“Modest Policy Interventions”,Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003 (Novem-ber), volume 50, issue 8, pages 1673-1700. With Eric M. Leeper.16.“A Gibbs Sampler for Structural Vector Autoregressions”,Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003 (November), volume 28, issues 2, papges 349-366. With Daniel F. Waggoner.17.“Likelihood Preserving Normalization in Multiple Equation Models”,Journal of Econometrics, 2003 (June), volume 114, issue 2, pages 329-347. With Daniel F.Waggoner.18.“Evaluating Wall Street Journal Survey Forecasters: A Multivariate Approach”,Business Economics, 2002 (July), volume 37, issue 3, pages 11-21. With Robert A. Eisenbeis and Daniel F. Waggoner.19.“Quantifying the Uncertainty about the Half-Life of Deviations from PPP”,Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2002 (March-April), volume 17, issue 2, pages 107-125. With Lutz Kilian.20.“Bankruptcy Law, Capital Allocation, and Aggregate Effects: A Dynamic Heteroge-neous Agent Model with Incomplete Markets”,Annals of Economics and Finance, 2001 (November), volume 2, issue 2, pages 379-400.21. “Assessing Simple Policy Rules: A View from a Complete Macroeconomic Model”,Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review(the symposium on monetary policy rules sponsored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Stanford University) ,2001 (July-August), volume 83, issue 4, pages 83-110. With Eric M.Leeper.22.“Conditional Forecasts in Dynamic Multivariate Models”,Review of Economics and Statistics, 1999 (November), volume 81, issue 4, pages 639-651. With Daniel F. Waggoner.23.“Error Bands for Impulse Responses”,Econometrica, 1999 (September), volume 67, issue 5, pages 1113-1155. With Christopher A. Sims.24.“Block Recursion and Structural Vector Autoregressions”,Journal of Econometrics, 1999 (June), volume 90, issue 2, page 291-316.25“Trends in Velocity and Policy Expectations”,Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1998 (December), volume 49, pages 265-304. With David B. Gordon and Eric M. Leeper.26.“Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models”,International Economic Review, 1998 (November), volume 39, issue 4, pages 949-968. With Christopher A. Sims.27.“Identifying Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy under Flexible Exchange Rates”,Journal of Monetary Economics, 1997 (August), volume 39, issue 3,pages 433-448. with David O. Cushman.28.“What Does Monetary Policy Do?”,Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1996, issue 2, pages 1-63. With Eric M. Leeper and Christopher A. Sims.